Decision Making and Risk Management

نویسنده

  • Allan Lavell
چکیده

Risk management comprises four discrete (but related) types of concern: “compensatory” and “prospective” anticipatory management, preparedness and disaster response activities. Preparedness and response strategies are still generally dominant concerns for disaster organizations. Anticipatory risk reduction is far from being generalized and has low social and political saliency. In the present paper we argue that this low level of saliency relates to the way the disaster problem is conceptualized, the overemphasis on large disasters or catastrophes, the low economic, social and political priority assigned to “anticipatory” management, and the weakness of risk management proponents within governmental disaster and development related institutions. Risk management will only be achieved if these variables are radically transformed. * Paper prepared for and presented at the Conference on “Furthering Cooperation in Science and Technology for Caribbean Development, Port of Spain, Trinidad, 23-25 September, 1998. SETTING THE SCENE: SOME BASIC CONCEPTS

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تاریخ انتشار 2002